by Calculated Risk on 1/19/2022 07:10:00 PM
• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 230 thousand initial claims.
• Also at 8:30 AM, the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for January. The consensus is for a reading of 23.0, up from 15.4.
• At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for December from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 6.45 million SAAR, down from 6.46 million. Housing economist Tom Lawler expects the NAR to report 6.33 million SAAR.
On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
|Percent fully Vaccinated||63.1%||—||≥70.0%1|
|Fully Vaccinated (millions)||209.5||—||≥2321|
|New Cases per Day3||755,095||763,722||≤5,0002|
|Deaths per Day3||1,669||1,687||≤502|
|1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
✅ Goal met.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of positive tests reported.
The 7-day average for new cases are just below record levels. Hospitalizations are at record levels.
Fortunately, deaths are still only half the previous 7-day average record of 3,421 per day in January 2021.